With the rapid development of China’s auto market, China’s automotive engine and piston market will also “rise.†In particular, with the development of China's medium and heavy-duty vehicles and the full implementation of China's 3 emission standards, China's middle-to-high end diesel engine piston market will usher in a historic opportunity for great development.
Development opportunities
In the next three years, there are several opportunities for the development of the middle and high-grade diesel engine piston market in China:
The first is the rapid growth of long-distance transport vehicles. With the rapid increase in the mileage of highways in China and the large-scale construction of high-grade highways, it will effectively promote the rapid growth of long-distance transport vehicles. At present, the overseas cargo vehicle market is dominated by high-powered models of more than 300 kW, while only 5% of models in China are more than 300 kW. In the near future, the power level of China's cargo vehicle market will rapidly upgrade, and high-speed, high-power, and light-weight heavy-duty vehicles will become the users' first choice.
The second is the strong growth of the dump truck market. The scale of investment in fixed assets in China has grown rapidly, and large-scale projects have led to the growth in sales of dump trucks for construction; at the same time, the market for dump trucks will have increased due to the smaller impact of the state’s oversight.
Third, the development of fuel-efficient heavy vehicles has become a trend. As China's oil prices gradually converge with the international market and countries continue to increase their energy demand, the era of high oil prices has already come. Fuel economy will become an important measure for users to purchase heavy-duty vehicles.
Fourth, the country's new rural construction is a strong pull. As the country has increased its efforts to implement the "three rural" policy, farmers' income has continued to rise, and the consumption of harvesting machinery and tractor products has shown a trend of increasing power. Therefore, in the field of agricultural machinery support, multi-cylinder engines gradually occupy a single-cylinder machine market characterized by silly large black rough.
Fifth, the full implementation of the State 3 emission standards. Entering into 2007, China's full implementation of the country's 3 emission standards will play a catalytic role in the upgrading of medium and heavy-duty vehicles and the elimination of old products.
Sixth, the upgrading of the heavy-duty auto market. It is estimated that the current domestic heavy-duty vehicle market has a total of 1.9 million vehicles, and the total freight volume in China has increased by an average of about 10% annually. According to the analysis of the new standards for vehicle scrap, the scrapped mileage of heavy vehicles is about 600,000 kilometers, which is basically scrapped within five years. The total number of vehicles to be renewed each year is about 230,000 to 250,000 vehicles, which is an important factor driving the increase in the demand for heavy-duty vehicles.
Market competition "Three Kingdoms"
There is bound to be competition in the market. In the next three years, China's middle-to-high end diesel engine piston market will be staged "Three Kingdoms", and Mahle, Binzhou Bohai, and Jiangbin will occupy more than 85% of the entire middle-high-grade diesel engine piston market.
The German Mahler Company is the world's largest piston development manufacturer. It currently has an annual sales income of more than 100 million yuan in China. Each year, 10 million pistons are assembled in China, which are General Motors, Ford, Dai-Ke, Volkswagen, Nissan, etc. Toyota and other domestic joint venture brands supply. In 2006, MAHLE established the MAHLER China Technology Center in Shanghai. This is MAHLE's next step in accelerating its entry into China following the establishment of 8 parts manufacturing plants in Shanghai, Nanjing, Chongqing, Yingkou, Tianjin and Guangzhou. .
Mahler’s new investment in China has accounted for 10% of its new global investment, and this figure has further expanded. In the next three years, with the further improvement of Mahle's layout in China, especially after further adapting to the “soil and water†of the Chinese market, the market share of middle and high-grade diesel engine pistons will rise to the top, and the total market share. Up to 35%.
Hunan Jiangbin Machinery (Group) Co., Ltd. is a large-scale enterprise directly under the China Ordnance Equipment Group Corporation. It specializes in the production and operation of high-performance engine pistons, gears, and oil pump assemblies, as well as the only military piston production base in China. Jiangbin is the first domestic company to introduce piston design and manufacturing technology from abroad. Through more than 30 years of digestion and absorption of imported technology and independent innovation, under the guidance of the concept of “focus on supercharger and focus on environmental protectionâ€, Jiangbin has successively developed China’s first Only wear-resisting ring piston, first internal cold oil passage piston, first graphite spraying piston, first special-shaped pin hole piston, first drum-deformed elliptical piston, first combined piston, first Pendulum piston, the first electron beam welding piston, electron beam welding, steel top aluminum skirt combined piston for the domestic exclusive production.
Shandong Binzhou Bohai Piston Co., Ltd. is a state-controlled large-scale enterprise and has the only national-level enterprise technology center and postdoctoral workstation in the domestic piston industry. The company has more than 700 product varieties and is widely used in various automobiles, motorcycles, ships, air compressors, refrigerators, construction machinery, agricultural machinery, military industries, etc., supporting large-scale automobile plants and engine plants such as FAW Group and Dongfeng Group. . In the next three years, Binzhou Bohai will have strong performance in the mid-to-high end diesel engine piston market with the advantages of its listed companies, local government support, and its own brands and marketing channels. Its market share ranks third and total The market share reached about 20%.
Mid-High-End Diesel Engine Piston Market Forecast in the Next Three Years
According to the annual growth rate of 15% for the whole vehicle, the production and sales of diesel commercial vehicles in 2007 will reach 1.855 million units and 1.861 million units respectively. In 2008, it will reach 2.233 million units and 2.14 million units. In 2009, it will reach 2.453 million units and 2.461 million units. Vehicles will reach 2.821 million vehicles and 2.83 million vehicles in 2010. As a result, according to an average of 5 cylinders per vehicle, the sales and sales volume of pistons for diesel commercial vehicles in 2007 will reach 9.275 million and 9.305 million respectively. In 2008, it will reach 10.665 million and 10.07 million, and in 2009 it will reach 12.265 million. With 12.35 million in 2010, it will reach 14.105 million and 14.15 million.
At the same time, as the diesel commercial vehicle market in China is undergoing product upgrading and peak development during the next few years, the piston repair market for diesel commercial vehicles in China will also be very active. According to the ratio of 1:1 for main engines and maintenance, China's diesel oil will be used commercially during 2007-2010. The production and sales volume of the car piston repair market will be synchronized with the production and sales volume of the host market.
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