After the wave of rising international oil prices, the domestic oil price increase is expected to increase. According to the "Petroleum Prices Management Measures (Trial)" (hereinafter referred to as "Measures") promulgated in May 2009, the next round of oil price adjustments will occur in late October or early November. The media here speculates that on October 29 or November 5, two price adjustment windows will usher in.
The price of domestic refined oil will rise by several percent. According to the Measures, when the average rate of change of international oil prices exceeds 4% for 22 consecutive working days, domestic refined oil prices can be adjusted accordingly. Since 2009, the domestic refined oil price has undergone seven adjustments, of which four have been raised and three have been reduced. The latest price adjustment by the National Development and Reform Commission was on September 30, when domestic retail prices of gasoline and diesel were both slightly reduced by RMB 190/ton.
Throughout October, international oil prices have continued to rise, breaking the $70/barrel and $80/barrel two-digit mark in just three weeks. At present, the gap between the international oil price and the price at the time of domestic oil price adjustment on September 30 has already exceeded the price adjustment rate of 4%. Industry insiders predict that the domestic refined oil price will rise slightly and the specific time will not be at the end of this month or early next month. Because there are no clear definitions for 22 working days in the Measures. If the working day is a reference to the International Crude Oil Trading Day, the next price adjustment window will be on October 29. If the calculation is based on domestic working days, the next theoretical price adjustment date should be on November 5.
This round of price adjustment or increase new variables. People in the industry generally predict that for the sake of taking into account the interests of all parties, the domestic oil price increase will not be too large. It is expected that this increase should be around 400 yuan per ton, and the retail price of gasoline and diesel oil may increase by more than 0.3 yuan per liter.
There are also insiders pointed out that the current round of price adjustment will increase new variables. Although the "Measures" stipulate that "the average change rate of international oil prices for 22 consecutive working days exceeds 4%, the domestic refined oil prices can be adjusted accordingly", but the "Measures" also stipulate that when the international oil price exceeds 80 US dollars / barrel, the price The method will be adjusted, which also adds new variables to the current adjustment of oil prices.
According to the Measures, when the crude oil price in the international market is lower than 80 US dollars per barrel, the refined oil price is calculated based on the normal processing profit rate; when it is higher than 80 US dollars per barrel, the processing profit margin is deducted until the zero profit calculated by processing. When the price of refined oil is higher than 130 US dollars per barrel, in accordance with the principle of taking into account the interests of producers and consumers, and maintaining the stable operation of the national economy, appropriate fiscal policies are adopted to ensure the production and supply of refined oil. The prices of gasoline and diesel are not mentioned or reduced in principle. mention.
Therefore, the final adjustment of domestic refined oil prices will depend on the next trend of international oil prices.
The price of domestic refined oil will rise by several percent. According to the Measures, when the average rate of change of international oil prices exceeds 4% for 22 consecutive working days, domestic refined oil prices can be adjusted accordingly. Since 2009, the domestic refined oil price has undergone seven adjustments, of which four have been raised and three have been reduced. The latest price adjustment by the National Development and Reform Commission was on September 30, when domestic retail prices of gasoline and diesel were both slightly reduced by RMB 190/ton.
Throughout October, international oil prices have continued to rise, breaking the $70/barrel and $80/barrel two-digit mark in just three weeks. At present, the gap between the international oil price and the price at the time of domestic oil price adjustment on September 30 has already exceeded the price adjustment rate of 4%. Industry insiders predict that the domestic refined oil price will rise slightly and the specific time will not be at the end of this month or early next month. Because there are no clear definitions for 22 working days in the Measures. If the working day is a reference to the International Crude Oil Trading Day, the next price adjustment window will be on October 29. If the calculation is based on domestic working days, the next theoretical price adjustment date should be on November 5.
This round of price adjustment or increase new variables. People in the industry generally predict that for the sake of taking into account the interests of all parties, the domestic oil price increase will not be too large. It is expected that this increase should be around 400 yuan per ton, and the retail price of gasoline and diesel oil may increase by more than 0.3 yuan per liter.
There are also insiders pointed out that the current round of price adjustment will increase new variables. Although the "Measures" stipulate that "the average change rate of international oil prices for 22 consecutive working days exceeds 4%, the domestic refined oil prices can be adjusted accordingly", but the "Measures" also stipulate that when the international oil price exceeds 80 US dollars / barrel, the price The method will be adjusted, which also adds new variables to the current adjustment of oil prices.
According to the Measures, when the crude oil price in the international market is lower than 80 US dollars per barrel, the refined oil price is calculated based on the normal processing profit rate; when it is higher than 80 US dollars per barrel, the processing profit margin is deducted until the zero profit calculated by processing. When the price of refined oil is higher than 130 US dollars per barrel, in accordance with the principle of taking into account the interests of producers and consumers, and maintaining the stable operation of the national economy, appropriate fiscal policies are adopted to ensure the production and supply of refined oil. The prices of gasoline and diesel are not mentioned or reduced in principle. mention.
Therefore, the final adjustment of domestic refined oil prices will depend on the next trend of international oil prices.
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