Recently, the National Development and Reform Commission Macro Research Institute stated that in the next five years, China’s high-speed railway construction will maintain large-scale investment, and the investment amount will be maintained at about 700 billion yuan per year, totaling about 3.5 trillion yuan.
The flourishing development of China's railway industry is a great advantage for the machine tool industry, and it has enormous business opportunities.
Unprecedented scale of railway investment reporter learned from relevant information that, in 2010, China’s railway mileage target was set at more than 90,000 kilometers, and by the end of 2008 this target had already been 89%, reaching 80,000 kilometers (approximately RMB 350 billion in investment). yuan). In view of this situation, the Ministry of Railways in the end of November 2008 adjusted the target of “Running mile of 100,000 kilometers of railways in 2020†in the Medium and Long-term Railway Network Plan approved by the State Council in 2004 to 120,000 kilometers.
Less than a year later, the Ministry of Railways revealed to the media that “in the next two years, it will also strive to approve about 20,000 kilometers of new railways and invest more than 2 trillion yuan.†Its investment plan is to invest 700 billion yuan in 2010. Operating mileage of 92,000 kilometers (2009 investment is about 600 billion yuan, operating mileage will reach 86,000 kilometers, the world rankings over India and Russia, only the United States ranked second); 2011 investment 750 billion yuan, when the operation The mileage is 100,000 kilometers; in 2012, it invested 700 billion yuan and the operating mileage was 110,000 kilometers. In other words, the 120,000 km operating mileage target achieved in 2020 in the adjusted medium and long-term railway network plan will also be completed ahead of schedule. Such a large-scale and high-density railway construction is unprecedented in the history of China’s railway construction.
In the past few years, China’s railway investment has only oscillated between 200 billion and 300 billion yuan each year. Since 2009, China’s railway investment has been maintained at about 600 billion yuan, mainly due to the series of national policies for expanding domestic demand. These funds are mainly It is an input from the national government, and some are from local governments. Local governments have established a good financing platform through investment companies. This has laid a good foundation for the rapid growth of railway investment in the past two years.
The Macro Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission pointed out that investment in railways will not be low in the next few years. After all, there are so many projects currently underway, even if it is not to preclude these projects from being the prerequisites for the project, it should continue to maintain a considerable scale. investment. However, the tendency of investment overheating in some areas also needs attention. The investment is excessively ahead of demand, resulting in mismatched and unadapted situations, which leads to deterioration of investment efficiency. The key to controlling investment overheating is to control the risks of investment projects. Do not set the investment standards too high. Try to build some single-line projects to meet the demand.
With the rapid growth in the demand for railway equipment and the rapid development of railway construction scale and investment scale, the demand for railway equipment will also increase rapidly, especially for equipment closely related to the machine tool industry. According to the analysis of relevant persons, the investment composition of railway construction mainly includes bridges, culverts, roadbeds, tracks and locomotives, and the proportion of the total investment is roughly 25% to 30%, 10% to 15%, 7% to 10% and 10% respectively. . Based on this calculation, from 2008 to 2012, the cost for the purchase of additional locomotives and vehicles will reach 300 billion yuan. If taking into account the replacement of existing lagging-aged locomotives and vehicles, the purchase cost of locomotives and vehicles will also greatly increase. According to relevant sources, by 2012, the Ministry of Railways will arrange purchases of locomotives and vehicles worth 500 billion yuan. The specific goal is that the number of EMUs that will be put into operation nationwide in 2010 will reach more than 800 units, which is 4 times the amount retained in 2009; the number of high-power locomotives will reach 7,900 units, accounting for 40% of the total. In terms of vehicles, the number of passenger cars will reach 45,000 in 2010, and the number of trucks will reach 700,000.
In urban rail transit, China will build 79 urban rail transit lines in 22 cities by 2015, totaling 2259.84 kilometers, with a total investment of 88,200.03 million yuan.
The demand for machine tools has great potential The demand for railway machines can be divided into four levels according to the product and business division: the first is the rail processing and high-speed rail sleeper processing; the second is the manufacture of locomotives and vehicles; the third is the wheels and vehicle parts Manufacturing; fourth is the daily maintenance and repair of the operation.
In terms of locomotives and vehicle manufacturing alone, the two groups of CSR and CSR owned by the Ministry of Railways spent 5 billion yuan on machine tool purchases in 2009. If three other aspects are taken into consideration, they are expected to be used for machine tool procurement each year by 2012. The amount will exceed 2009, about 7 billion yuan.
Specifically, in terms of track processing and high-speed railway sleeper processing, the construction of speed-increasing and high-speed rails as well as the transformation need new types of speed-increasing turnouts, and the demand for numerical control turnout machines and turnout grinders will further increase. The high-speed track is laid on a track board that is completely different from the sleeper and a special CNC track-plate grinding machine is required. According to the current situation, about one hundred kilometers is needed.
In the manufacture of vehicle parts, there is a big difference in the demand for machine tools between power units, electric locomotives and electric locomotives. Electric locomotive processing focuses on the motor stator, rotor and motor shaft, etc., while electric transmission diesel locomotive processing focuses on diesel engine, generator and transmission parts. In the body part, the body of different locomotives and vehicles is basically a steel framed beam structure, which requires the processing of partial surfaces and holes. In general, these processes are general machinery manufacturing and diesel engine manufacturing. There are many general-purpose machine tools and special machine tools, such as large and medium-sized vertical and horizontal machining centers, gantry machining centers, CNC boring and milling machines, CNC vertical lathes, and CNC precision grinding machines. Crankshaft cars, milling machines, cam lathes, and cam grinders. Among them, at present, there are many imports of cam lathes and cam grinders.
According to relevant statistics, since wheels and axles are consumable parts, the annual demand for more than 550,000 axles for new additions, upgrades, overhauls, replacements, and exports outside urban rails and factories and mines (iron) roads will increase. It is several times as many as this, and there are only ten companies that have been approved by the Ministry of Railways to produce axles. Faced with the demand of this scale, the market prospect of the machine tool industry is quite promising.
In addition, the other major machine tool market in the railway industry chain is the maintenance service field. Such users are mainly located in the depots and depots along the railway lines and are responsible for the daily maintenance and repair of rolling stocks in operation. One of the most important tasks in the maintenance and repair business is to ensure the integrity of the wheels and axles, repair and replace the worn wheels and bearings in time, and repair the axles when replacing the bearings. Therefore, the CNC wheel lathe used for the repair of the wheel rim and the tread of the wheelset, the NC grinder used for the repair of the rim and the tread of the wheelset without disassembling the condition, the cylindrical grinder for the lathe and the axle bearing seat are repaired. Are all necessary equipment.
In this field, at present, the NC falling wheel lathes on China's high-speed railways are almost covered by the German company Heigenschidt. There is a lot of room for the development of domestic CNC lathes. At the same time, with the deepening of the reform of the railway sector and the operation of the train division, the maintenance workload has increased significantly. The maintenance and repair work will be increasingly concentrated in the depot and depot of the hub area. The core of the gantry wheel lathe will include: Ultrasonic flaw detection and abrasion measurement and automatic restoration of the prototype minimum cutting capacity of the production line will be the future direction of development.
In addition, with the development of China’s railways, the degree of automation in the maintenance of the lines is also increasing, and the demand for road maintenance machinery has increased dramatically. It is understood that by the year 2012 will be equipped with 1,000 large-scale road maintenance machinery, which is also worthy of attention of the machine tool industry as a growth point.
The flourishing development of China's railway industry is a great advantage for the machine tool industry, and it has enormous business opportunities.
Unprecedented scale of railway investment reporter learned from relevant information that, in 2010, China’s railway mileage target was set at more than 90,000 kilometers, and by the end of 2008 this target had already been 89%, reaching 80,000 kilometers (approximately RMB 350 billion in investment). yuan). In view of this situation, the Ministry of Railways in the end of November 2008 adjusted the target of “Running mile of 100,000 kilometers of railways in 2020†in the Medium and Long-term Railway Network Plan approved by the State Council in 2004 to 120,000 kilometers.
Less than a year later, the Ministry of Railways revealed to the media that “in the next two years, it will also strive to approve about 20,000 kilometers of new railways and invest more than 2 trillion yuan.†Its investment plan is to invest 700 billion yuan in 2010. Operating mileage of 92,000 kilometers (2009 investment is about 600 billion yuan, operating mileage will reach 86,000 kilometers, the world rankings over India and Russia, only the United States ranked second); 2011 investment 750 billion yuan, when the operation The mileage is 100,000 kilometers; in 2012, it invested 700 billion yuan and the operating mileage was 110,000 kilometers. In other words, the 120,000 km operating mileage target achieved in 2020 in the adjusted medium and long-term railway network plan will also be completed ahead of schedule. Such a large-scale and high-density railway construction is unprecedented in the history of China’s railway construction.
In the past few years, China’s railway investment has only oscillated between 200 billion and 300 billion yuan each year. Since 2009, China’s railway investment has been maintained at about 600 billion yuan, mainly due to the series of national policies for expanding domestic demand. These funds are mainly It is an input from the national government, and some are from local governments. Local governments have established a good financing platform through investment companies. This has laid a good foundation for the rapid growth of railway investment in the past two years.
The Macro Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission pointed out that investment in railways will not be low in the next few years. After all, there are so many projects currently underway, even if it is not to preclude these projects from being the prerequisites for the project, it should continue to maintain a considerable scale. investment. However, the tendency of investment overheating in some areas also needs attention. The investment is excessively ahead of demand, resulting in mismatched and unadapted situations, which leads to deterioration of investment efficiency. The key to controlling investment overheating is to control the risks of investment projects. Do not set the investment standards too high. Try to build some single-line projects to meet the demand.
With the rapid growth in the demand for railway equipment and the rapid development of railway construction scale and investment scale, the demand for railway equipment will also increase rapidly, especially for equipment closely related to the machine tool industry. According to the analysis of relevant persons, the investment composition of railway construction mainly includes bridges, culverts, roadbeds, tracks and locomotives, and the proportion of the total investment is roughly 25% to 30%, 10% to 15%, 7% to 10% and 10% respectively. . Based on this calculation, from 2008 to 2012, the cost for the purchase of additional locomotives and vehicles will reach 300 billion yuan. If taking into account the replacement of existing lagging-aged locomotives and vehicles, the purchase cost of locomotives and vehicles will also greatly increase. According to relevant sources, by 2012, the Ministry of Railways will arrange purchases of locomotives and vehicles worth 500 billion yuan. The specific goal is that the number of EMUs that will be put into operation nationwide in 2010 will reach more than 800 units, which is 4 times the amount retained in 2009; the number of high-power locomotives will reach 7,900 units, accounting for 40% of the total. In terms of vehicles, the number of passenger cars will reach 45,000 in 2010, and the number of trucks will reach 700,000.
In urban rail transit, China will build 79 urban rail transit lines in 22 cities by 2015, totaling 2259.84 kilometers, with a total investment of 88,200.03 million yuan.
The demand for machine tools has great potential The demand for railway machines can be divided into four levels according to the product and business division: the first is the rail processing and high-speed rail sleeper processing; the second is the manufacture of locomotives and vehicles; the third is the wheels and vehicle parts Manufacturing; fourth is the daily maintenance and repair of the operation.
In terms of locomotives and vehicle manufacturing alone, the two groups of CSR and CSR owned by the Ministry of Railways spent 5 billion yuan on machine tool purchases in 2009. If three other aspects are taken into consideration, they are expected to be used for machine tool procurement each year by 2012. The amount will exceed 2009, about 7 billion yuan.
Specifically, in terms of track processing and high-speed railway sleeper processing, the construction of speed-increasing and high-speed rails as well as the transformation need new types of speed-increasing turnouts, and the demand for numerical control turnout machines and turnout grinders will further increase. The high-speed track is laid on a track board that is completely different from the sleeper and a special CNC track-plate grinding machine is required. According to the current situation, about one hundred kilometers is needed.
In the manufacture of vehicle parts, there is a big difference in the demand for machine tools between power units, electric locomotives and electric locomotives. Electric locomotive processing focuses on the motor stator, rotor and motor shaft, etc., while electric transmission diesel locomotive processing focuses on diesel engine, generator and transmission parts. In the body part, the body of different locomotives and vehicles is basically a steel framed beam structure, which requires the processing of partial surfaces and holes. In general, these processes are general machinery manufacturing and diesel engine manufacturing. There are many general-purpose machine tools and special machine tools, such as large and medium-sized vertical and horizontal machining centers, gantry machining centers, CNC boring and milling machines, CNC vertical lathes, and CNC precision grinding machines. Crankshaft cars, milling machines, cam lathes, and cam grinders. Among them, at present, there are many imports of cam lathes and cam grinders.
According to relevant statistics, since wheels and axles are consumable parts, the annual demand for more than 550,000 axles for new additions, upgrades, overhauls, replacements, and exports outside urban rails and factories and mines (iron) roads will increase. It is several times as many as this, and there are only ten companies that have been approved by the Ministry of Railways to produce axles. Faced with the demand of this scale, the market prospect of the machine tool industry is quite promising.
In addition, the other major machine tool market in the railway industry chain is the maintenance service field. Such users are mainly located in the depots and depots along the railway lines and are responsible for the daily maintenance and repair of rolling stocks in operation. One of the most important tasks in the maintenance and repair business is to ensure the integrity of the wheels and axles, repair and replace the worn wheels and bearings in time, and repair the axles when replacing the bearings. Therefore, the CNC wheel lathe used for the repair of the wheel rim and the tread of the wheelset, the NC grinder used for the repair of the rim and the tread of the wheelset without disassembling the condition, the cylindrical grinder for the lathe and the axle bearing seat are repaired. Are all necessary equipment.
In this field, at present, the NC falling wheel lathes on China's high-speed railways are almost covered by the German company Heigenschidt. There is a lot of room for the development of domestic CNC lathes. At the same time, with the deepening of the reform of the railway sector and the operation of the train division, the maintenance workload has increased significantly. The maintenance and repair work will be increasingly concentrated in the depot and depot of the hub area. The core of the gantry wheel lathe will include: Ultrasonic flaw detection and abrasion measurement and automatic restoration of the prototype minimum cutting capacity of the production line will be the future direction of development.
In addition, with the development of China’s railways, the degree of automation in the maintenance of the lines is also increasing, and the demand for road maintenance machinery has increased dramatically. It is understood that by the year 2012 will be equipped with 1,000 large-scale road maintenance machinery, which is also worthy of attention of the machine tool industry as a growth point.
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